A-10 Standings Math

Here's a look at the Atlantic 10 standings and the the conference tournament picture. Extended UMass stuff below.
The plan will be to update this after each game
OWN TB - This only applies to head-to-head tiebreakers if the teams finish in a two-way tie. It means the team has beaten this opponent either once in the only time they met or swept the two-game series.
SPLIT - An opponent played twice with a win and a loss.
AHEAD - An opponent a team has beaten with a game left to go.
BEHIND - An opponent at team has lost to with a game left to go.

W L
1. Temple 11 3 Clinched A-10 Tournament berth and first round bye
Best/Worst: 13-3/11-5
OWN TB: SLU, Char, URI, GW, X, SBU, Duq, LasSPLIT:SJU
AHEAD: Fordham, BEHIND:
Remaining games: UMass, Ford
2. Saint Louis 11 4
Clinched A-10 Tournament berthBest/Worst: 12-4/11-5
OWN TIE BREAK: GW, Char, SBU, SJU, LaS, Rich, Ford, X
SPLIT: Dayton
AHEAD: Duq
BEHIND:
Remaining games: at Duq
3. St. Bonaventure 9 5Best/Worst: 11-5/9-7
OWN TIE BREAK: GW, Dayton,Richmond, URI, Fordham, Charlotte
SPLIT: DuqAHEAD:BEHIND:
Remaining games: SJU, at La Salle
4. Xavier 9 6Clinched A-10 Tournament berth
Best/Worst: 10-6/9-7
OWN TIE BREAK: Fordham, Duq, SBU, SJU, GW, URI, RIchSPLIT:DaytonAHEAD: CharlotteBEHIND:
Remaining games: Char


4. St. Joseph's 9 6Clinched A-10 Tournament berth
Best/Worst: 10-6/9-7
OWN TIE BREAK:Duq, Ford, Dayt, La Salle, URI, GWSPLIT: UMass, Richmond, TempleAHEAD:
BEHIND:
Remaining games: at SBU
6. Dayton 8 6
Best/Worst: 10-6/8-8
OWN TIE BREAK: Temple, Fordham, Charlotte, LaSalle, UMass
SPLIT: SLU, Xavier, Duquesne
AHEAD:
BEHIND:
Remaining games: UMass, at Richmond, GW

6. UMass 8 6
Clinched A-10 Tournament berth
Best/Worst: 10-6/8-8
OWN TIE BREAK: Ford, Cha, Rich, SLU, GW, SBU, XavierSPLIT: SJUAHEAD:
BEHIND: URI
Remaining games: at Temple, URI

8. La Salle 7 7
Best/Worst: 9-7/7-9
OWN TIE BREAK: X, URI, Char, Duq, UMassSPLIT:AHEAD: GW
BEHIND:
Remaining games: at GW, St. B

9. Duquesne 6 8Best/Worst: 8-8/6-10
OWN TIE BREAK: UMass, URI, Rich, Ford
SPLIT: SBU, Dayton
AHEAD:
BEHIND: Saint Louis
Remaining games: at Charlotte, SLU

10. Richmond 6 9Best/Worst: 7-9/6-10
OWN TIE BREAK:URI, Temple, Fordham La Salle
SPLIT:Charlotte, Saint Joe's
AHEAD:BEHIND:
Remaining games: Dayton

11. Charlotte 5 9Best/Worst: 7-9/5-11
OWN TIE BREAK:SJU, URI, Ford
SPLIT: Richmond, GW
AHEAD:
BEHIND: XavierRemaining games: Duq, at X

11. GW 5 9Best/Worst: 7-9/5-11
OWN TIE BREAK: URI, Richmnd, Duq
SPLIT: Charlotte
AHEAD: BEHIND: La SalleRemaining games: LaS, at Dayton

13. Fordham 3 11Best/Worst: 5-11/3-12
OWN TIE BREAK:GW, La Salle
SPLIT:
AHEAD: URI
BEHIND: TempleRemaining games: URI, Temple


14. Rhode Island 3-11Best/Worst: 5-11/3-13
OWN TIE BREAK: Dayton, SLUSPLIT:
AHEAD: UMass
BEHIND: Fordham
Remaining games: UMass, Fordham
EXTENDED UMASS INFO:
UMass can finish no worse than ninth
If UMass wins 1 more game, the lowest it could finish is 8th
If UMass wins 2 more game, the lowest it could finish is 7th
Historical Context
I did this last year and I'm bringing it back again with updated numbers. I'm sure I'll run it again later in the season.
This is the seventh season that the Atlantic 10 has included 14 teams. I analyzed the standings from each of the first five seasons and came up with the following interesting (semi-interesting) facts and conclusions:
1. Average wins for a first place team is 14.0. Only twice - Temple each of the last two years - has a team won 14 games and not been the A-10 Tournament's No. 1 seed.
2. Average minimum wins to earn a first round bye (fourth place) is 10.2. Ten league wins has been enough to earn a bye in the first round of the A-10 Tournament four out of six seasons. Only Fordham in 2006-07 and GW last year have won 10 and not gotten a bye. Richmond in 2007-08 is the only team to get single digit wins (9) to earn a first round bye.
3. Average minimum wins to get a home game in the first round of the Atlantic 10 Tournament (eighth place) is 7.8. St. Bonaventure in 2009-10 and UMass last year are the only teams to have hosted a first round game with a losing record at 7-9.
4. Average minimum wins to make the Atlantic 10 Tournament (12th place) is 5.0. Only Richmond, which was 4-12 in 2006-07 and St. Joe's last year have ever got into the tournament with fewer than five wins. Only George Washington in 2007-08, was left out of the tournament with five wins. No team has ever been left out with six wins.
5. Only one team has ever gone 12-4 in A-10 play. Xavier in 2008-09. It was enough to win the league.
6. Xavier's 15-1 record last year was the first time a team had 15 wins in league play since the expansion to 14 teams. Three have gone 1-15.
7. The sixth place team has always had nine wins.
8. The team with the fewest league wins to earn an NCAA Tournament at-large berth was Saint Joseph's in 2008. The Hawks were 9-7 in regular season conference play.
9. The team with the most league wins not to get and NCAA Tournament at-large bid was UMass in 2007. The Minutemen won 13 A-10 games that year.
10. The teams with the fewest A-10 wins to get an NIT bid wes Rhode Island which went 7-9 in A-10 play in 2007-08 and Dayton, which was 7-9 last year.
11. No. 10 seed George Washington had the fewest league wins and still earned a postseason bid. The 2009-10 Colonials were 6-10 in conference play and went to the CBI.
Average win totals for:
First place: 14.0
Second: 12.3
Third: 11.3
Fourth: 10.2
Fifth: 9.3
Sixth: 9.0
Seventh: 8.2
Eighth: 7.8
Ninth: 7.3
10th: 6.7
11th: 6.0
12th: 5.0
13th: 3.5
14th: 1.3
Place finish by win total
16 wins - First (1)
15 wins - First (1)
14 wins - First (3), Second (1)
13 wins - First (1), second (1), third (2)
12 wins - First (1)
11 wins - Second (3), third (2), fourth (2)
10 wins - Third (2), Fourth (1), fifth (2)
9 wins - Fourth (1), Fifth (4), Sixth (6), Seventh (1), Eighth (1)
8 wins - Seventh (5), Eighh (3), Ninth (2) 10th (1)
7 wins - Eighth (2), Ninth (4), 10th (2), 11th (1)
6 wins - 10th (3), 11th (4), 12 (2)
5 wins - 11th (1), 12th (2), 13th (1)
4 wins - 12th (2), 13th (3)
3 wins - 14th (1)
2 wins - 13th (2), 14th (1)
1 win - 14th (3)
0 wins - 14th (1)

Using Jeff Sagarin's predictor, the final Atlantic 10 standings will be:

1. Temple 13-3
1. Saint Louis 12-4
3. St. Bonaventure 10-6
3. Xavier 10-6
5. La Salle 9-7

5. Dayton 9-7
5. Saint Joseph's 9-7
5. UMass 9-7
9. Duquesne 7-9
9. Richmond 7-9 11. Charlotte 6-10
12. George Washington 4-12
13. Rhode Island 3-13
13. Fordham 3-13